50 state strategy - RIP. Thanks for nothing Howard.

Has the 50 state strategy played out as the 48 state disaster?  We need to fix this right away.  While I am delighted that there is now greater Democratic Party infrastructure in Wyoming than there was 4 years ago, I am horrified that the Florida and Michigan revote debacle has alienated core progressive voters in two huge states that the party counts on to win.  We are hemorrhaging support in states that we need to win the election - forget the primaries.  Dean is failing us a leader of the DNC.

From the time he burst onto the national scene as an outspoken supporter of progressive values I have been a huge Howard Dean voter, worker, supporter, donor, buyer of Democracy Bonds, and champion (including pushing for his chairmanship).  Now as I see the Michigan and Florida revotes tabled, I see that Dean is not a strong enough leader of the DNC and is a poor strategizer.  What a disappointment; and how do we fix the problem of vote denial to the members of those states - pronto?

Dean likes to talk of his admiration for Truman - Mr. `Buck stops here'.  Dean is turning out to be no Truman.  Truman would exercise some serious leadership and vision in this situation - would pull the two candidates into his office and say to them for the good of the party we need to get Michigan and Florida to vote - we need a new plan  NOW.  He would have thanked them for agreeing to the resolution at the start of the election but would say this is too close to deny these voters their say.   Plus it has become a national cause celebre now, the party has been branded as denying voters a say.  Dean should not tolerate that - it will have negative ramifications into the general election, it will have negative coattails for House and Senate races, and it will have negative ripples for years beyond.  

Truman would have whipsawed Barack Obama for whining about technicalities as the basis blocking `one-man-one-vote' in two huge states with enormous Democratic strongholds.

But what do we have instead from today's NYT:
 "The Democratic National Committee and its chairman, Howard Dean, have not offered any guidance on how to resolve the impasse."

Dean disappoints on two fronts: 1) defending the basic right to vote, and 2) the `vision thing'.  The first majorly trumps the second but we are paying him to do the second and do it well.  I don't think we are getting our money's worth.  

If Dean's torpor in this situation is a tacit assist to Obama, Dean may be doing so at the price of the entire party and with glib carelessness about what a McCain victory would look like.

Strategists are paid to think through hypotheticals - here is one - Obama has come out against the revote, just `too complicated', he has been damaged by the recent vetting of his life as eloquently diaried by Scan
http://www.mydd.com/story/2008/3/20/1154 46/750

with the loss of Florida and Michigan to Republicans the election goes to McCain - thanks Howard.  

But there is time to fix this - even Chris Matthews, of all people, has a solution -- I agree with Hillary that the delegates now have to be seated in such a way that they count BEFORE the nomination is given.  A revote is far preferable.  

Time to get them in your office Howard.



Display:


Dean is wussing out on this (2.00 / 3)

When he said both candidates must approve of a revote plan I just about lost it. That's a surefire way for a revote to never happen. I don't care what year, what two candidates you have, one candidate will always disagree with the conditions.

And who loses in the end? The Democratic party. Voters in these states will remember this for years. If they voted for Hillary and their votes do not count, and she doesn't get the nomination this will burn. If their votes count and she doesn't get the nomination that's a different story.

I am dumbfounded that Dean made this conditional on both candidate's approval. That makes NO sense at all. Make it conditional on that state legislature's approval.


by catfish1 on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 10:27:30 AM EST

Re: Dean is wussing (2.00 / 3)

It looks like Dean was letting it all drag out because he knew and knows that dragging benefits Obama. At best he was horribly incompetent -- anyone with a smidging of foresight would have nipped this in the bud and resolved things before the primaries even started.  It smells to me like he was screwing MI and FL as a way to advantage Obama's campaign.  You can see by Donna Brazille's comments she's part of this inside strategy too.

I want Howard Dean to resign now.  And I'm from NH -- one of those early primary states Dean was pretending to protect.  Guess what:  the State of New Hampshire early on put out a public statement that NH is ok with Florida's date change because the new date still came after all the early states of IA, NH, SC, and NV.

Fire Howard Dean for the good of the Democratic Party and the good of the country.  


by moevaughn on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:10:34 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Paranoia, big destroyer. (none / 0)

"It smells to me like he was screwing MI and FL as a way to advantage Obama's campaign.  You can see by Donna Brazille's comments she's part of this inside strategy too."

Do we get to hear about the One World Government next?


by McNasty on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:44:14 AM EST
[ Parent ]

I think Dr. Dean failed and have to resign (none / 0)


Welcome to a Landslide without white Working class, Latinos, Women, Seniors and holding-on sweeties
by engels on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 10:35:31 AM EST

I mean why do we even want a candidate (BO) (2.00 / 3)

who is afraid to have the vote play out?  Why does Dean feel like he can take a risk on that candidate as the nominee for the good of the party?  

VOTES IN THOSE STATES CAN CHANGE THE OUTCOME.

that is reason enough strategy-wise to absolutely insist that it happen.


by Molee on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 10:41:32 AM EST

Let's Be Patient... (2.00 / 2)

The nomination doesn't formally occur until the votes are cast at the convention.  

The delegates will be seated.  Beleive you me. The credentials committe will authenticate and it will be done.  

Prior to that, there might be some kind of accord, but even IF not...the crendentials committee will settle it before the nomination is granted.  

Dr. Dean is through as the chairman of the party.  While I think it is fair to say that his 50-state strategy helped in '06, he has been clumsy in dealing with the '08 pres battle.  

When the dust settles on the nomination, the supporters of the losing candidate will demand Dean's head.  They'll get it too.


by a gunslinger on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 10:41:50 AM EST

Re: 50 state strategy - RIP. Thanks for nothing Ho (2.00 / 1)

the impasse is a hoax, the rules are being followed.  everyone knew fl and mi wouldn't count, it shouldnt shock you that they don't.  The delegates will still be able to attend the convention im sure, its just that they will either be with the presumed nominee or split 50/50.  that is a fair way of distrubuting delegates.  if FL and MI are mad they should be mad at their state leaders who thought themselves above the rules.


by nick in pa on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 10:43:55 AM EST

Re: 50 state strategy - RIP. Thanks for nothing Ho (2.00 / 3)

no, splitting the delegates 50-50 is most certainly NOT fair.  I voted.  I want my vote to count.


by Thirsty Gator on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 10:51:48 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: 50 state strategy - RIP. Thanks for nothing Ho (none / 0)

In electoral politics coffee is for closers.  You Florida democrats want your vote to count? Then you should get organized and obtain a majority in the state congress so that the GOP can't screw you next time.  Otherwise quit whining about the results of an agreement made by all candidates including Hliary in advance of the primary season as a result of actions taken by the state legislature in a state where the local democrats haven't done what it takes to seize the reigns of power.  It's not everyone else's fault. It's not even Howard Dean's fault.


Government derives its power from those that it governs.
by lockewasright on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:03:45 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: 50 state strategy (2.00 / 3)

pathetic.  if you live in a state where the Legislature is Republican majority and there is a Republican governor,  the Democratic voters are to blame for that so must be disenfranchised! Hey, lets disenfranchise all the Dem voters in all the red staes -- purple too for that matter.  democracy in action.


by moevaughn on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:17:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Sounds like that's the argument. (2.00 / 2)

And as a lifelong Democrat who lives in a red state, I don't care to tell you that I resent the hell out of that attitude. Democrats in red states still donate time and money, or does that not count either?


by georgiapeach on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:30:36 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: 50 state strategy (none / 0)

That's not what I am saying.  I am saying that the blame for the representation in your state offices rest solely on the voters in your state, not on Dr. Dean or Barack Obama.  If you want that representation to improve then go work on changing it.  Every bit of energy that is spent on some misguided attempt to place the blame somewhere else is energy better spent changing your representation.  It's only the entire point of democracy.

Barack Obama didn't make the rules.  Howard Dean didn't violate the rules.  Hilary agreed to the ruling way in advance of the primary season.  The blame rests on the state elected officials.  What kind of officials are they again?  That's right.  Elected.  Go change it and quit whimpering to everyone else.


Government derives its power from those that it governs.
by lockewasright on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 12:29:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: 50 state strategy - RIP. Thanks for nothing Ho (2.00 / 1)

First of all, this state - like most - does not have a "congress."  It has a legislature.  Please don't lecture me on politics when you can't get the most basic details correct.

This is an electoral disaster in the making.  


by Thirsty Gator on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:40:40 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: 50 state strategy - RIP. Thanks for nothing Ho (none / 0)

My candiate is winning.  Yours is losing.  I said the sham primaries in Fla and Mi would never count.  You're crying because they aren't going to count.  

Looks to me like I've been right twice and you've been wrong twice and you want to argue semantics?!

That's fine.  I'm a pragmatist.  As long as I keep winning and you keep losing, you can continue to spout whatever silliness you want while you lose over and over.... and over.

and over.


Government derives its power from those that it governs.
by lockewasright on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 12:18:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]

So you know who my candidate is, eh? (none / 0)

I'm not a Clinton supporter.  I think she's a better alternative than Obama, but no, I'm not all that impressed with her.


by Thirsty Gator on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 02:45:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: 50 state strategy - RIP. Thanks for nothing Ho (none / 0)

It will count.  The delgates WILL be seated by the credentials committee before the nomination is granted by the party.  

Be patient.  There is no hurry.  Better to get it right and complete, than it would be to try and quickly force an accord that winds up with a 50-50 split or something like that.

They'll be seated.


by a gunslinger on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:10:40 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: 50 state strategy - RIP. Thanks for nothing Ho (2.00 / 0)

I agree...  and I find it curious that the diarist starts out talking about Wyoming and then posits that because of Florida and Michigan, Dean has somehow failed.  Ummm....  Wyoming....  There are 48 other states in the 50 state strategy.  Florida and Michigan are in a cluster-f... of their own making.  They knew what the consequences were when they made the change..  and made it anyway.  

How that is Dean's fault is beyond me...  but the grassroots support for Democratic candidates downticket is integral for eliminating this whole red state/blue state, cartography by Crayola mess.  Given the turnout that has existed for the primaries and the caucuses, I would say Dean is being very effective.

Although, by all accounts, there is no real love lost between members of the DLC and Dean, so he would likely be out if HRC s the nominee anyway.  Probably go back to the McAuliffe strategy of doing just enough to win the Presidency.... but little else.


Like the nominee, don't like the nominee... Our nominee is still better than John McCain...
by JenKinFLA on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 10:52:43 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: 50 state strategy - RIP. Thanks for nothing Ho (2.00 / 2)

I take issue with ANYONE attacking the man that, back in 2003, breathed life back into the corpse of the Democratic party -- and then just 3 years later, brought us our first majorities in more than a decade.

Howard Dean has been the greatest DNC chair of my lifetime.

The blame here lies with the FL and MI legislatures.  They both nixed any resolutions -- neither agreed to nor submitted any plan for either Dean, the Rules Committee, or the two candidates to consider.

Had they agreed on a remedy - and Dean (or Obama) rejected it, you'd have a leg to stand on.  As it stands - direct your bile towards the state leaders.


by zonk on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 10:48:13 AM EST

Sorry, but 'past performance is no guarantee of (2.00 / 1)

future returns' as the stock portfoloios will tell you.... as I started out in my diary, I was a Deaniac (including hat, autographs, you name it), I could even be brought back into the fold if he starts to exercise some leadership.  

But no top leader of a giant entity like the DNC, no CEO, is given a pass because they did a good thing two years ago.  They are ALWAYS, ALWAYS, under scrutiny, always on the line to perform. They are dealt the toughest, messiest problems and they are paid to think 9 moves ahead.   It's a tough job and is only done well by a few people,  "hard work" as W would say.  

We can't be easy on Dean, we need his leadership, we need it now - do you want to be in Iraq for 100 years under a McCain presidency because Dean didn't have the balls to force through a revote in these 2 states?


by Molee on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 10:57:19 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Sorry, but 'past performance is no guarantee o (none / 0)

"Force"?

You do realize that the DNC can no more force a revote in MI and FL than Obama or Clinton can.

It's up to the states to submit a plan - if the DNC or Obama rejects it, then fire away.

But the states themselves BOTH decided not to resubmit a plan.  

How you lay this at Dean's feet and not the feet of those who were responsible for and have made the decisions NOT to revote is beyond me.


by zonk on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:04:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: 50 state strategy - RIP. Thanks for nothing Ho (none / 0)

I agree that Dean has done a good job in altering the landscape for the democrats...our gains in '06 in VA, MO, SD, and other red states can be ditrectly attibutable to Dean's efforts.

However, fairly or not, he'll be blamed for what the supporters of the losing dem candidate will view as HIS failure to "do the right thing(s)" that would have assured their candidates victory.


by a gunslinger on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:00:09 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: 50 state strategy alive in spite of Hilary (none / 0)

The 50 state strategy is alive and well.  2 states opted out of the primarys.  Dr. Dean warned them ahead of time.  They didn't listen.  He then gave them a chance to change their mind.  They chose not to.  He said he was open to a revote.  The states failed to make that happen.  None of this is Howard Dean's fault.

Obama will campaign in all 50 states during the GE.  Hilary thinks most of the states don't count.  If you want to call someone out as the antithesis of the 50 state strategy is should be her.

I just wish that we would quit acting like Florida is purple.  It's red in my eyes until there is some evidence to the contrary.  What party is the gov from?  How 'bout the previous one?  Which party holds majorities in congress?  The norhern part of the state is referred to by its own inhabitants as Florgia or Floribama.  The age demographic in the middle of the state (aka Heaven's waiting room) makes it a GOP leaning area.  The southern part of the state has a very large Cubano population.  That's another demopgraphic that breaks heavily GOP.  Electoral results in the state bare out what I am saying.


Government derives its power from those that it governs.
by lockewasright on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 10:56:03 AM EST

It's blue because Gore won it in 2000. (none / 0)


by Molee on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:00:32 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: It's blue because Gore won it in 2000. (none / 0)

It's red....  we have a popular GOP Governor, who may yet be tapped as a veep candidate with McCain... we also have a Gay Marriage Amendment on the ballot this year... plus whatever else the state GOP decides to do.


Like the nominee, don't like the nominee... Our nominee is still better than John McCain...
by JenKinFLA on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:06:44 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: It's blue because Gore won it in 2000. (none / 0)

It's red because the GOP dominates the state enough to have stole it anyway.  The EXC votes went red in both 2000 and '04.  The state can put up or shut up.  

I believe in the 50 state strategy.  Anyone around here who wants to make Hilary's "big state" arguement cannot tell me the same.  I am just saying that we're fooling ourselves and could make better use of our resources when we put extra resources in Florida under the misperception that it's purple.  Spend the extra cash and time on real swing states like Virginia, Colorado, and even N.Carolina.


Government derives its power from those that it governs.
by lockewasright on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:08:27 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: It's blue because Gore won it in 2000. (none / 0)

That's: EC votes went red.

Damn fat fingers!


Government derives its power from those that it governs.
by lockewasright on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:09:20 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: 50 state strategy alive in spite of Hilary (none / 0)

I've lived in north Florida all my 40 years and have never heard anyone use the word "Florgia."  The "Floribama" is a bar near Pensacola.

And the age demographic in central Florida is among the younger parts of the state, especially the Orlando area.  


by Thirsty Gator on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:43:05 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: 50 state strategy alive in spite of Hilary (none / 0)

I am sitting next to a marine from Florgia.  He's laughing at you.


Government derives its power from those that it governs.
by lockewasright on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 12:37:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: 50 state strategy alive in spite of Hilary (none / 0)

I think either you're a liar or your marine pal likes making things up.  You've proven pretty well in this diary that you don't know much about Florida.


by Thirsty Gator on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 02:48:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Bring back Terry McCauliffe !! (2.00 / 0)

The 18 state strategy is what we need!


by highgrade on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 10:57:20 AM EST

I wish there was a Snark-Rate option. n/t/ (none / 0)


by baudelairien on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:44:44 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I wish there was a Snark-Rate option. n/t/ (none / 0)

lol, i thought it was pretty obvious.


by highgrade on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 05:12:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: 50 state strategy - RIP. Thanks for nothing Ho (2.00 / 0)

Dean's only sticking to the rules he laid out before the contests began -- and which all sides agreed to.

Having said that, it's unfortunate that two swing states that are critical to Democratic efforts are going to go voiceless in selecting our nominee.

At the very least, Florida should count. Both candidates were on the ballot, 1.7 million Democrats took time to vote, and that should count for something.

HOWEVER, at the same time, I completely understand Dean's problem that this could lead as someone put it to "primaries during Halloween." It would not be good if the national party acquiesces and gives in. It's a very tough debate, and I really do see both sides.

So does it come down to a) counting every vote, or b) sticking to a good calendar for primaries?

I don't know.


"If we can't live together... we're going to die alone."
by VAAlex on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:00:20 AM EST

Hillary Clinton is not the Democratic Party (2.00 / 0)

Dean has helped the Democratic Party gain control of the House, Senate, and numerous state governments.  Refusing to change the rules to help Hillary gain the nomination is not failure.  

Michigan and Florida can make no significant difference in the delegate lead.  Hillary's campaign has admitted this.  The only way this contest is "close" is if Hillary can gain a large majority of the super delegates.  The only way thats even conceivable is if she can provide justification that she won "big states".  


McCain = Iraq. John McCain = overturn Roe.
by PantsB on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:21:13 AM EST

Re: Hillary Clinton is not the Democratic Party (2.00 / 1)

She has won the "big states".  All of them, so far.  
Obama has won a lot of little red states and a few purple states that will go Democrat regardless of who the nominee is.   Surely the Super Delegates know that already, but Hillary should then be at least awarded Florida's votes where everyone was on the ballot.  Why would anyone have a problem with that?

by shellius on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 12:57:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Dean has brought little red states in the front... (2.00 / 2)

door while the important big states have been walking out the back.

But hey, his goal of bringing small red states into the fold seems to be working.

But at what cost?

And don't forget...the DNC and Clinton agreed to the Mich. Re-Vote, but BO - who has always claimed he would follow the rulz set down by the DNC - was the one that said no....chicken shit.


by Shazone on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:24:23 AM EST

Funny. (none / 0)

I thought Florida and Michigan made the decisions.  Your blame is misplaced.


by McNasty on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:42:57 AM EST
[ Parent ]

My comment relates to the recent... (2.00 / 2)

...re-vote proposal in Michigan - The DNC and Clinton agreed but BO is scared to face the voters, so he's not agreeing.

One of the reasons is that he and his BFF Markos, urged people to muck up the Repub primary in Romney's favor and now those Dems and Indies (supposedly Obama supporters), can't vote in any Dem re-vote - THAT IS A DNC RULE - so while BO says he'll play by the rulz (when he thinks they're in his favor) he craps out when he doesn't like them.

Yup - politics as usual!!  No change here!


by Shazone on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 12:28:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: - RIP.. (2.00 / 1)

I want Howard Dean to resign now.  And I'm from NH -- one of those early primary states Dean was pretending to protect.  Guess what:  the State of New Hampshire early on put out a public statement that NH was ok with Florida's date change because the new date still came after all the early states of IA, NH, SC, and NV.

Why did Dean not have the foresight to nip this in the bud and resolve it before the primaries even started?  Is he just that stupid and that incompetent?  Why has Dean been dragging this out?  I think we all know why and we know who that benefits.

Fire Howard Dean for the good of the Democratic Party and the good of the country.  


by moevaughn on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:24:56 AM EST

"Dean is failing,,." (none / 0)

If Dean is failing at the DNC, then I'd like to see more of this kind of failure.

Seriously, the entire premise of your diary is wrong.  Your hatred blinds you.


by McNasty on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:41:47 AM EST

Re: 50 state strategy - RIP. Thanks for nothing Ho (2.00 / 2)

Dean should have resigned a long time ago because he's been a wuss from day one, and I saw Donna Brazile's bias months ago. It's not paranoia to NOTICE THINGS.

This situation is inexcusable.  If I were a disenfranchised voter in Michigan or Florida I'd be furious.  I'm furious that a few people in the Democratic party have the nuts to try to pull a coup for Obama like this!  The Democratic party should own up to the fact that they made a mistake, count the votes that have been case like they should have, and too bad if it doesn't come out for the candidate they initially wanted! This isn't up to them, it's up to the voters. Let their votes count.

This has me steamed, so I can only imagine how the voter in Michigan and Florida feel.   Hillary won those states, now grow up %$#@ Democratic party and let her have the votes that were cast for her.  Why is this like rocket science for some people? This is simple: Votes were cast. Count them. Whoever gets the most wins those states. I don't care about some party elites tantrums.


by shellius on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 12:49:11 PM EST


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