hang on to seats in +10 districts. Second, the Obama campaign isn't sitting around on MyDD arguing about Clinton's historically inaccurate gaffe.

That's Karl Rove talking.  Why would people like Coulter and Limbaugh all have fought so hard to keep Clinton in the race if they honestly thought that she would be a stronger contender?

No, your diary is based on a Republican strategy of trying to instill the Democrats with buyer's remorse.  They know that Obama is the nominee, and their only hope is now to sow discord between the Clinton supporters and Obama supporters.

Quite frankly, it's transparent and sad.  I don't know what happened to the Republicans, but their strategists are terrible nowendays.  Operation Chaos only managed to make Obama a stronger candidate, register hundreds of thousands of Democratic voters, absorb millions in donations from excited voters, build ground games throughout several states, and train the eye of the media squarely on the Democrats for months, practically ignoring the Republican candidate.

I mean, where's the strategy involved in sabotaging your own party for the general election?

A lot of us knew this way last year! A lot of the Dem leadership apparently still don't get it. Boy did they screw this one up. Onwards to snatch defeat out of jaws of victory!

Real Clear Politics had this article with some interesting conclusions:  http://www.politico.com/news/stories/050 8/10585.html

 But the contours of the electoral map, combined with McCain's unique strengths and the nature of Obama's possible vulnerabilities, have led to a cautious and muted optimism that McCain could actually surpass Bush's 35-electoral-vote victory in 2004. Though they expect he would finish far closer to Obama in the popular vote, the thinking is that he could win by as many 50 electoral votes.

I would also point to the Newsweek national polls today that show Hillary beating McCain by 4, but Obama managing only a tie.  This poll is consistent with a long line of polls in the last two weeks.  http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/ 2008/latestpolls/index.html

You are a fucking concern troll

get a life

is indicative of the feelings of unease in the Obama camp, and the reason, I think, why the Obama camp pushed the Kennedy story yesterday.

It is kind of nice to support a candidate you thought was out of it, but seems to be making a comeback.  Kind of like rooting for a football team down by three TDs in the fourth, and there's one long drive to go to actually win the damn thing.

ummm..

Hate to burst your bubble but has anyone actually read the article cited here?

The "nominate anyone else" was referring to the republican field, not the democratic one.

The author of this diary either

a) is intentionally trying to mislead people

or

b) needs to brush up on reading comprehension

this is why super delegates exist. I hope they learn that. But I doubt they will, because they're too scared of the media. So while this doesn't have a big shot of happening, seeing as 52 out of our 56 elections have had winners who won the popular vote, which means 93% of elections winners win a plurality or majority in the popular vote, this year is unique. If there is a downside to nominating a guy like Obama, this is it. The electoral college system truly disenfranchises minorities in red states, blacks compared to whites in the South, Democrats in red states, and Republicans in blue states, because they are so few of each that their votes don't change the outcome of receives the electoral vote. While they were saying that anyone but McCain would lose, also, being Obama's race, the quote can absolutely apply to him. There are not really enough blacks to turn the highly GOP white states blue in many places, like SC, AL, MI, the south, and the plain and mountain states. And hightened black turnout in some places may provoke enough white backlash to counter it.

If Obama loses the EC but wins the popular vote, there will be a big mandate to get rid of the electoral college. Being that yes it will involve race, and riots may occur, it could be a silver lining made in heaven for the future. No Democrat has been elected without winning the highest number of popular votes, be it a plurality or majority. Only Republicans have won elections without the popular vote: Hayes, Harrison, and Bush II, and while Quincy Adams also lost the pop vote and won the election, he was a Dem-Rep. McCain could be the newest abortion of Democracy. Especially after Bush, and the disaster of a popular vote loser, popular AND political demand would be high to end it, as Dems would uniformly favor it. We could also push instant runoff voting, which would stop spoilers like Nader, but avoid costly runoff elections which prolong campaigns. Getting that may be harder, because while for us, IRV would have avoided Bush, while the GOP will continue to say in public that Perot was a spoiler, but they know that outside of undermining Clinton, exit polls all showed that year that Perot voters actually prefered Clinton and Bush equally, which means Perot really just brought Bush closer to victory by bringing down Clinton and negating a majority mandate which would have given Bill Clinton a huge credibility boost. Thus third parties help the GOP more, as they gave us Bush II, brought Bush I closer to Clinton, and wrecked Clinton's mandates, which enabled the GOP to make up the Perot myth, and undercut Clinton's healthcare plan, his economic plans, and much more.

First, what polls are now showing is that if the election were held today Obama would win the PV and in the electoral college.  Second, all of the head-to-head matchups are tainted by this phenomenon of many Clinton supporters (as many as 2/3rds in some states) telling pollsters that they'll vote for McCain or stay home if Obama wins the nomination.

And STILL Obama wins.  The Republicans are extremely weak this year.  If these GOP strategists told the truth, they'd admit that McCain probably doesn't have the ability to beat the Democrats in the general--the only way the Dems will lose is if they beat themselves (ie. the party stays this divided).

So every time you see one of these articles, remember two things: 1) the Republicans want this race to continue for as along as possible (not saying Clinton should drop out, that's a separate issue, just that the above is obvious); 2) the GOP also wants this race to end with Obama and Clinton's supporters hating each other so there will be massive defections.

If the Dems go into the general unified, btw, what polls are suggesting now is that they'll win the so called "swing" or "battleground" states by approx. 10 points (this is also the explanation for Obama's recent "surge" in states like Ohio, btw--all that's changing is the Dem respondants in these polls are saying they're less likely to flip to McCain or stay home).

And c'mon--the dream GOP scenario, at this point, probably would be an acrimonious convention, a flipped result, and Hillary Clinton's having to make her case to the electorate in the two months between the convention and the general, and all while fending off the accusation that she got the nom by convicing superdelegates that Obama was too black to be the nominee.

Not saying that's what Clinton is trying to do.  But who doubts that would be the hand she'd then have to play?

I think this is a really important discussion for the party. If you are a democrat these days it is a little like watching your party slide towards a cliff.

Even my Mom's friends back home in Pennsylvania have said, they have voted Democrat all their life, but if the Democrats give the nomination to Obama, this will be the very first time they'll break with the Dem's and vote Republican.

Why are so many Democrats always afraid of going up against the Republicans?  Thank goodness Obama is our nominee.  Finally we have a candidate not afraid to fight back and more than willing to attack and be on the offensive.

We will win easily in November.  I'm talking 300+ and more than likely in the 350 range.